I don't think Bisu had lost from that first failed Dark Templar opening - he lost when he made that failed arbiter drop at the 12 and had that immediate counter attack against him once he spent that good amount of units.Also falcon you missed my other YT comments - will you ever do AOE4 when it comes out? Some starcraft pros are having a look.
The reason Last knew the drop was coming is actually because of his ingenious mine placement, he saw that Bisu wasn't taking a third because he had mines at the expansions, therefore he knew that Bisu was doing some strategy off of 2 base, which means he had to prepare for a drop.
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